Refiner Neste Warns of Weaker Biofuel Outlook, Shares Drop
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Company makes 3rd cut to renewables business outlook this year

Reduces both margin and volume outlook

Weaker diesel market strikes biofuel prices

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By Elviira Luoma and Essi Lehto

HELSINKI, Sept 11 (Reuters) - Finnish refiner Neste on Wednesday cut the margin outlook for its biofuel company for the 3rd time this year due to falling costs and also decreased its anticipated sales volumes, sending out the business's share cost down 10%.

Neste said a drop in the rate of routine diesel had affected what it can charge for the biofuel it makes in Europe and Singapore, while input costs for waste and residue feedstock stayed high.

A rush by U.S. fuel makers to recalibrate their plants to produce renewable diesel has actually developed a supply glut of low-emissions biofuels, hammering revenue margins for refiners and threatening to restrain the nascent market.

Neste in a declaration slashed the expected average similar sales margin of its renewables unit to between $360-$480 per tonne of biofuel, down from $480-$580 per tonne seen in July and well below the $600-$800 seen in February.

The business now also anticipates renewables-based sales volumes in 2024 to be about 3.9 million tonnes rather of the 4.4 million it had anticipated because the start of the year, it included.

A part of the volume cut came from the production of sustainable air travel fuel, of which it is now anticipated to sell between 350,000-550,000 tonnes this year, below between 500,000 and 700,000 tonnes seen previously, Neste stated.

"Renewable products' list prices have actually been negatively impacted by a significant reduction in (the) diesel rate throughout the third quarter," Neste said in a declaration.

"At the same time, waste and residue feedstock rates have actually not reduced and renewable item market rate premiums have actually stayed weak," the company added.

Industry executives and analysts have said rapidly expanding Chinese biodiesel producers are looking for new outlets in Asia for their exports, while Shell and BP have revealed they are stopping briefly expansion plans in Europe.

While the cut in Neste's guidance on sales volumes of sustainable aviation fuel came as a surprise, the negative effect on biodiesel margins from a lower diesel price was to be anticipated, Inderes analyst Petri Gostowski said.

Neste's share cost had some losses by 1037 GMT but stayed down 5.8% on the day and 48% lower year-to-date. (Reporting by Elviira Luoma, Essi Lehto and Boleslaw Lasocki